Alex Debs: “Strategic Stability Dialogue between the United States and China in Historical Perspective”

Alex Debs
March 7, 2025

Associate Professor of Political Science and Faculty Director of the Nuclear Security Program at the MacMillan Center for International and Area Studies Alex Debs wil lgive a talk at Stanford University, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies entitled “Strategic Stability Dialogue between the United States and China in Historical Perspective.”

Abstract:  

“What are the prospects for arms control agreements between the United States and China? Conventional wisdom is pessimistic, pointing to recent tensions between great powers. Yet we still lack a comprehensive review of the history of arms control negotiations, placing the current context in perspective. This presentation presents some initial findings of a data collection effort, conducted jointly with Matthew Fuhrmann (Texas A&M). We identify close to 200 arms control agreements from 1816 to 2017. We conclude that arms control agreements have served very different purposes. Some have been symmetric, imposing restrictions on all parties involved, while others have been asymmetric, cementing a balance of power after a global shock or excluding third parties from a technology. These agreements follow different logics and symmetric agreements, which the United States would be pursuing with China, have been rare. Even setting aside recent tensions, arms control agreements would be challenging.”

This even wil be webcast from Stanford.  Register here:  https://stanford.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_5pxbZ8-4Sr2v8EgXdNeZ0w#/registration